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Long-Term Industry Employment Projections

Long-term industry employment projections represent a valuable data source for those interested in future employment trends. Data are currently available at the statewide and regional levels for over 90 detailed industries (at the 3-digit NAICS industry level).  Regional projections cover the 2008-2018 period.  Statewide projections cover the 2010-2020 period.

Data for New York State labor market regions, 2008-2018

New York Statewide Industry Employment Projections, 2010-2020
(3-digit industry)
NAICS Code Industry Title 2010 2020 Net Change Percent
Change
Source: New York State Department of Labor, Division of Research and Statistics
  Total 9,342,170 10,183,180 841,010 9.0%
  Total Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, Primary Job 728,420 773,320 44,900 6.2%
11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 35,550 33,590 -1,960 -5.5%
111 Crop Production 16,660 15,530 -1,130 -6.8%
112 Animal Production 13,340 12,560 -780 -5.8%
113 Forestry and Logging 2,580 2,820 240 9.3%
114 Fishing, Hunting and Trapping 640 530 -110 -17.2%
115 Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry 2,330 2,150 -180 -7.7%
21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 4,620 4,900 280 6.1%
211 Oil and Gas Extraction 450 1,180 730 162.2%
212 Mining (except Oil and Gas) 3,550 3,090 -460 -13.0%
213 Support Activities for Mining 620 630 10 1.6%
22 Utilities 38,300 35,530 -2,770 -7.2%
23 Construction 306,700 346,480 39,780 13.0%
236 Construction of Buildings 76,800 85,520 8,720 11.4%
237 Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 29,000 29,510 510 1.8%
238 Specialty Trade Contractors 200,900 231,450 30,550 15.2%
31-33 Manufacturing 457,110 413,080 -44,030 -9.6%
311 Food Manufacturing 49,180 50,440 1,260 2.6%
312 Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing 6,430 6,430 0 0.0%
313 Textile Mills 3,990 2,340 -1,650 -41.4%
314 Textile Product Mills 4,020 2,970 -1,050 -26.1%
315 Apparel Manufacturing 19,880 8,640 -11,240 -56.5%
316 Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing 1,740 770 -970 -55.7%
321 Wood Product Manufacturing 6,710 7,310 600 8.9%
322 Paper Manufacturing 16,390 12,240 -4,150 -25.3%
323 Printing and Related Support Activities 23,450 16,670 -6,780 28.9%
324 Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing 1,840 1,320 -520 -28.3%
325 Chemical Manufacturing 41,900 33,540 -8,360 -20.0%
326 Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing 20,370 20,940 570 2.8%
327 Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing 14,970 13,700 -1,270 -8.5%
331 Primary Metal Manufacturing 9,930 9,090 -840 -8.5%
332 Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing 48,890 50,100 1,210 2.5%
333 Machinery Manufacturing 42,460 42,300 -160 -0.4%
334 Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing 62,170 62,390 220 0.4%
335 Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing 13,150 12,000 -1,150 -8.7%
336 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 23,220 18,460 -4,760 -20.5%
337 Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing 12,900 11,120 -1,780 -13.8%
339 Miscellaneous Manufacturing 33,520 30,310 -3,210 -9.6%
42 Wholesale Trade 325,800 346,020 20,220 6.2%
423 Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 147,300 162,170 14,870 10.1%
424 Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods 139,600 141,020 1,420 1.0%
425 Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 38,900 42,830 3,930 10.1%
44-45 Retail Trade 875,000 934,140 59,140 6.8%
441 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 69,700 75,900 6,200 8.9%
442 Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores 27,300 28,690 1,390 5.1%
443 Electronics and Appliance Stores 36,000 39,050 3,050 8.5%
444 Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealers 60,600 68,150 7,550 12.5%
445 Food and Beverage Stores 200,900 206,740 5,840 2.9%
446 Health and Personal Care Stores 80,100 94,110 14,010 17.5%
447 Gasoline Stations 28,700 26,100 -2,600 -9.1%
448 Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 126,000 138,350 12,350 9.8%
451 Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores 35,200 34,170 -1,030 -2.9%
452 General Merchandise Stores 137,300 152,700 15,400 11.2%
453 Miscellaneous Store Retailers 45,600 43,590 -2,010 -4.4%
454 Nonstore Retailers 27,600 26,590 -1,010 -3.7%
48-49 Transportation and Warehousing 239,150 258,310 19,160 8.0%
481 Air Transportation 32,140 33,090 950 3.0%
482 Rail Transportation 15,760 14,690 -1,070 -6.8%
483 Water Transportation 3,800 4,200 400 10.5%
484 Truck Transportation 36,820 38,850 2,030 5.5%
485 Transit and Ground Passenger Transport 68,140 81,680 13,540 19.9%
486 Pipeline Transportation 360 330 -30 -8.3%
487 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation 2,230 2,790 560 25.1%
488 Support Activities for Transportation 26,670 26,060 -610 -2.3%
492 Couriers and Messengers 33,310 34,640 1,330 4.0%
493 Warehousing and Storage 19,920 21,980 2,060 10.3%
51 Information 253,200 253,040 -160 -0.1%
511 Publishing Industries 70,370 62,350 -8,020 -11.4%
512 Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries 54,060 59,330 5,270 9.7%
515 Broadcasting (except Internet) 39,680 41,990 2,310 5.8%
517 Telecommunications 48,850 44,520 -4,330 -8.9%
518 Internet Service Providers, Web Search Portals, and Data Processing Services 13,790 11,980 -1,810 -13.1%
519 Other Information Services 26,450 32,870 6,420 24.3%
52-53 Financial Activities 669,510 696,490 26,980 4.0%
522 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities 157,920 145,630 -12,290 -7.8%
523 Securities, Commodity Contracts, and Other Financial Investments and Related Activities 185,190 220,940 35,750 19.3%
524 Insurance Carriers and Related Activities 139,200 131,130 -8,070 -5.8%
531 Real Estate 152,900 167,580 14,680 9.6%
532 Rental and Leasing Services 21,100 18,390 -2,710 -12.8%
533 Lessors of Nonfinancial Intangible Assets (except Copyrighted Works) 2,400 2,090 -310 -12.9%
54-56 Professional and Business Services 1,098,420 1,273,700 175,280 16.0%
541 Professional, Scientific & Tech. Services 553,320 640,780 87,460 15.8%
551 Management of Companies and Enterprises 132,000 147,700 15,700 11.9%
561 Administrative and Support Services 391,100 457,530 66,430 17.0%
562 Waste Management and Remediation Service 22,000 27,690 5,690 25.9%
61 Educational Services 1,041,540 1,100,750 59,210 5.7%
62 Health Care and Social Assistance 1,369,820 1,659,820 290,000 21.2%
621 Ambulatory and Health Care Services 410,420 547,500 137,080 33.4%
622 Hospitals 413,200 430,750 17,550 4.2%
623 Nursing and Residental Care Facilities 237,100 290,220 53,120 22.4%
624 Social Assistance 309,100 391,350 82,250 26.6%
71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 139,700 176,630 36,930 26.4%
711 Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries 48,700 59,560 10,860 22.3%
712 Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institutions 15,900 18,990 3,090 19.4%
713 Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries 75,100 98,080 22,980 30.6%
72 Accommodation and Food Services 595,900 667,540 71,640 12.0%
721 Accommodation 81,900 90,490 8,590 10.5%
722 Food Services and Drinking Places 514,000 577,050 63,050 12.3%
81 Other Services 389,720 458,270 68,550 17.6%
811 Repair and Maintenance 55,800 63,240 7,440 13.3%
812 Personal and Laundry Services 98,800 108,180 9,380 9.5%
813 Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations 209,900 260,870 50,970 24.3%
814 Private Households 25,220 25,980 760 3.0%
90 Government 773,710 751,570 -22,140 -2.9%
901 Federal Government, Excluding Post Office 69,560 63,280 -6,280 -9.0%
491 Postal Service 47,300 34,240 -13,060 -27.6%
902 State Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals 159,890 159,210 -680 -0.4%
903 Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals 496,960 494,840 -2,120 -0.4%

Notes:

      Employment is rounded to the nearest ten.
      Detail may not add to summary lines due to suppression of data because of confidentiality and/or quality.
      Self-employed and unpaid family workers, and private household workers data are from the Current Population Survey.
      Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, which counts jobs.
      The remainder of employment is based on Nonagricultural wage and salary employment from the New York State
      Current Employment Statistics survey, which counts jobs.

For more information, please see Technical Notes.

Contact: State Labor Market Analyst
Kevin Jack
NYS Department of Labor
State Office Campus Bldg. 12
Room 490
Albany, NY 12240
Phone: (518) 457-2919
Fax: (518) 457-6199
E-mail:Kevin.Jack@labor.ny.gov

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